许昌市1953~2016年降水时空变化特征分析

    Analysis on Precipitation Spatial and Temporal Variation Features of Xuchang City From 1953 to 2016

    • 摘要: 根据许昌市1953~2016年的日常气象降水资料,应用线性倾向估计、累积距平、滑动t检验、M-K突变分析法,对该区的年降水量、四季降水量的时空变化特征进行分析,结果表明:1953~2016年,许昌市多年平均降水量为726.34 mm,最大年降水量为1 132 mm(1961年),最小年降水量为413 mm(1964年),年降水量的倾向率为-10.3 mm/10a,呈下降趋势;年内降水量分配严重不均,主要集中在夏秋两季;春季、夏季和冬季的降水量呈减少趋势,秋季降水量呈增加趋势;春季、秋季和冬季的降水没有明显突变年份,夏季降水显著突变时间区域为1998~2007年,年降水的突变点为2010年。

       

      Abstract: According to the daily meteorological precipitation data of Xuchang city from 1953 to 2016, using the linear trend estimation, the accumulative anomaly, the sliding t test, the M-K mutation analysis method to analyze the annual precipitation and the spatial and temporal variation features of four-season precipitation.The results show that the average annual precipitation is 726.34mm of Xuchang city,the max annual precipitation is 1132mm (1961), the minimum annual precipitation is 413mm (1964), and the annual precipitation trend rate is-10.3 mm/10a from 1953 to 2016.Precipitation distribution of a year is seriously uneven.It is mainly concentrated in summer and autumn.Precipitation decreases in spring,summer and winter, and increases in autumn.There are no obvious precipitation mutation years of in spring,autumn and winter.The summer precipitation obvious mutation time is from 1998 to 2007,and the annual precipitation mutation point is 2010.

       

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